The Black Swan (book)

"The Black Swan" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb explores the concept of unforeseeable events, called "Black Swans," that have a significant impact on our lives and history. These events are rare, unpredictable, and often rationalized in hindsight. Taleb argues that humanity tends to underestimate the role of chance and uncertainty, leading to false confidence in forecasts and models. He emphasizes the importance of being aware of our limitations in understanding the future, advocating for a mindset that embraces randomness and prepares for the unexpected, rather than relying solely on data and past experiences.