The Black Swan (Nassim Nicholas Taleb)

"The Black Swan," by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, explores the impact of rare, unpredictable events that have significant consequences, which he calls "Black Swans." These events are often rationalized in hindsight but can drastically alter our understanding of risk and uncertainty. Taleb emphasizes that our tendency to focus on what is known can blind us to the importance of the unexpected. He argues for the need to prepare for these unpredictable events rather than trying to forecast them, advocating for resilience in our personal and professional lives. Ultimately, it challenges conventional wisdom about knowledge and prediction.