The Thucydides Trap

The Thucydides Trap refers to the theory that when a rising power threatens to displace an existing dominant power, conflict is often inevitable. This concept, drawn from ancient historian Thucydides, emphasizes that fear and competition between the established power and the newcomer can lead to misunderstandings and tensions, ultimately resulting in war. Historically, this has been observed in cases like the rivalry between Athens and Sparta. Understanding this dynamic can help explain contemporary international relations, particularly regarding the U.S. and China, where shifts in power balance raise concerns about potential conflict.