hindsight bias

Hindsight bias is the tendency for people to see events as more predictable after they happen than they actually were beforehand. Once you know the outcome of an event, it can feel obvious or inevitable, making you believe you knew it all along. This bias can lead to overconfidence in your ability to predict future events and may cause people to unfairly judge past decisions. Essentially, hindsight bias distorts your memory of what you anticipated before an event occurred, making the outcome seem less surprising and more predictable than it truly was.