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Gott's time hypothesis

Gott's time hypothesis, proposed by mathematician J. Richard Gott, suggests that we can estimate the duration of future events based on how long similar events have lasted in the past. Essentially, if something has been observed for a certain period, we can predict with reasonable confidence how much longer it might continue. This idea is often illustrated using the "half-life" concept, implying that the time already elapsed gives a clue about the future. It's a way of applying statistical reasoning to temporal predictions, but it also acknowledges uncertainty inherent in any forecasting.