Ensemble Forecasting

Ensemble forecasting is a method used to improve predictions by combining multiple forecasts from different models or simulations. Instead of relying on a single forecast, this approach generates a range of possible outcomes by varying initial conditions or model parameters. By analyzing these diverse forecasts, meteorologists or analysts can assess the likelihood of different scenarios, leading to more reliable and informed decisions. Essentially, ensemble forecasting acknowledges uncertainty and captures a spectrum of possibilities, which helps to better understand and communicate potential future events, especially in fields like weather forecasting and economics.