Taleb, Nassim Nicholas

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a scholar and former trader known for his work on risk, uncertainty, and randomness. He emphasizes that complex systems often face rare, unpredictable events—called "Black Swans"—that have outsized impacts. Taleb advocates for skepticism of traditional models that underestimate such unpredictable events and stresses the importance of robustness and antifragility—systems that benefit from disorder. His ideas challenge conventional thinking in finance, economics, and decision-making, encouraging individuals and institutions to prepare for uncertainty rather than rely solely on predictive models.