Short Range Ensemble Forecasting (SREF)

Short Range Ensemble Forecasting (SREF) is a weather prediction approach that uses multiple computer models to predict upcoming weather conditions over a short period, typically up to a few days ahead. Instead of relying on a single forecast, SREF combines several simulations with slightly different initial conditions to account for uncertainties. By analyzing the variety of outcomes, meteorologists can better estimate the most likely weather patterns and potential variations, leading to more confident and precise short-term forecasts. This method helps improve accuracy in predicting things like storms, temperatures, and precipitation within a limited time frame.