Philip E. Tetlock

Philip E. Tetlock is a psychologist and expert in decision-making, known for studying how well experts predict future events. His research, including the "Good Judgment Project," found that while experts often struggle to forecast accurately, regular people can sometimes outperform them with disciplined thinking. Tetlock emphasizes the importance of intellectual humility, open-mindedness, and ongoing learning in making better judgments. His work highlights how critical thinking and adaptable approaches can improve our ability to understand complex issues and make more informed decisions.