PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm)

PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm) is a statistical system used to predict baseball players' future performance. It analyzes a player's past statistics and compares them to similar players' career paths to generate personalized projections. By considering factors like age, skill development, and injury history, PECOTA creates a range of expected future stats, helping teams, analysts, and fans assess player value and make informed decisions. Essentially, it uses historical data and comparison models to provide the most accurate forecasts of how a player might perform moving forward.