Mediocristan

Mediocristan refers to a landscape of situations where outcomes are predictable and variations are minor, following a normal or bell-curve distribution. In such environments, most results are close to the average, and extreme events are rare. Examples include human heights or test scores. Because of this, small changes tend to have proportional effects, making risks manageable. This concept contrasts with Extremistan, where rare, impactful events dominate outcomes. Recognizing whether a system operates in Mediocristan helps in assessing risk, understanding variability, and making informed decisions based on predictable, moderate fluctuations.