Aftershock probability forecasting

Aftershock probability forecasting estimates the likelihood of smaller earthquakes occurring in a region following a major quake. It uses data from the main shock, such as its size and location, combined with historical earthquake patterns. This helps scientists predict how likely it is that aftershocks will happen over hours, days, or weeks. The goal is to inform emergency responses and help communities prepare for additional tremors, which can cause further damage. While not predicting exact times or sizes, these forecasts provide valuable insights into the ongoing seismic risk after a significant earthquake.